Forgot about this–I wrote it in 2018. So I was wrong about the primary path–she never ran in any this year–but that last line proved right….just four years early. Ha.
Just saw the overwhelming support Kamala Harris has among politically active women of color. Looking at the 2020 primary calendar I see it is even more front loaded with southern states than 2016 and of course California is now on Super Tuesday. It’s like the calendar was designed for Kamala Harris to take an early insurmountable lead, even if Beto wins Texas and somebody besides Harris won in Florida. She could even have an edge in the Nevada caucuses just by being from s neighboring state. Bernie could not afford to lose there. Anyway, I’d say the tracks are greased nicely for Kamala Harris to enter the White House. She’ll have to be stopped before Iowa. If she were to drop out it’s wide open. But black women voters dominate the democratic primaries in states with substantial African-American populations, and of the 18 primaries through March 10, half are below the Mason Dixon line, plus California. Harris could do poorly in Iowa and New Hampshire but out organize Bernie in the Nevada caucuses and then begin her sweep in South Carolina, win California and for or five of the nine primaries on Super Tuesday and Louisiana the following Saturday. That’s basically Obama’s 2008 and Hillary’s 2016 path, though this time with California thrown in. I’m not gonna go public with this, but provided Trump is running in 2020 it appears likely it will be Kamala v Trump.

